Top 5 Trading Alerts: March 30 – April 3, 2026

1. Extreme Volatility for Oil Near the $120 Mark Markets are speculating about potential ground combat in Iran. Such a move could trigger new retaliatory actions from Iran, causing massive swings in crude oil prices.

2. Will the VIX (Fear Index) Break 40? The U.S. military may conduct its first armed escort for merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz this week. Any small-scale conflict would likely push the VIX directly above the 40 level.

3. Consumer Confidence Report (Tuesday, March 31) The expected value is 101.5. However, hit by high gas prices, a result below 100 would be bad news for the retail and consumer sectors.

4. March Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Report Forecasts show an increase of 150,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate staying at a high 4.4%. If unemployment continues to rise, the stock market will face a second wave of fear regarding an economic recession.

5. Quarter-End Rebalancing Pressure (Tuesday, March 31) Institutions often sell high-performing energy stocks and buy oversold tech stocks at the end of the quarter. This may cause stock prices to fluctuate wildly and move away from their actual fundamental value early in the week.

In me the tiger sniffs the rose.